PA Penelec – Distributed Solar Revenue Streams Analysis & Forecast Price-to-Compare

Description

This July 2025 analysis unlocks crucial insights into the future of Penelec’s net metering compensation for distributed solar projects with comprehensive analysis and forecast. Specifically, this report provides an in-depth breakdown of historical and forecasted rate class GS-Medium price-to-compare (PTC) rate components, which are the metrics used to provide net metering revenue for Penelec commercial scale net metering projects.

Report Includes:

• PTC 5-Year Backcast Curves and Monthly and Annual PTC Forecast Curves through 2050 for base, low and high revenue cases (Excel File)
• Market Background & Methodology Deck (PDF)

Key Features:

• Analysis provides forecasts through 2050
• Background & Overview of how PJM wholesale rates are connected to retail PTC rates and how PTC rates are connected to net metering compensation
• Isolation of the components and sub-components of PTC rates: energy, capacity, transmission, AEPS, true-ups and more
• Deep dive into the layered procurement of default service generation which both buffers and elongates the impact of short-term wholesale market volatility on PTC rates
• Forecast model that incorporates wholesale energy price futures, capacity prices, and FirstEnergy Pennsylvania-specific procurement schedules
• Regression-based analysis leveraging historical energy and capacity procurement data from 2017 to 2025 with almost 95% accuracy in estimating the primary component of PTC rates

Discount Eligibility:

• Purchase two or more Pennsylvania market forecasts and receive a discount of $500 for each market.  For example, purchase two Pennsylvania market forecasts and receive a total discount of $1,000 on your order; purchase three Pennsylvania market forecasts and receive a total discount of $1,500 on your order.

or

• Purchase two or more FirstEnergy Pennsylvania market forecasts and receive a discount of $1,000 for each market.  For example, purchase two FirstEnergy Pennsylvania market forecasts and receive a total discount of $2,000 on your order; purchase three FirstEnergy Pennsylvania market forecasts and receive a total discount of $3,000 on your order.

The following are Pennsylvania FirstEnergy markets:

• Met-Ed
• Penelec
• Penn Power
• West Penn Power

Combine the discounts:

For example, if you purchase the PECO (a non-FirstEnergy market) analysis & forecast, with the Penelec and West Penn Power (both FirstEnergy markets) analyses & forecasts as a bundle, then your total discount would be $2,500.  PECO=$500, Met-Ed=$1,000, Penelec=$1,000.

Discounts are automatically applied at checkout for eligible purchases. Don’t miss this opportunity to gain deeper insights while saving on your investment!